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Publication selection in health policy research: the winner's curse hypothesis
journal contribution
posted on 2013-01-01, 00:00 authored by J Costa-Font, A McGuire, Tom StanleyTom StanleyThere is a widely discussed problem of publication bias in medical and health services research. Where quantitative effects form the basis of a publication a 'winner's curse' curse may apply. This phenomenon may occur as prospective authors of research papers compete by reporting 'more extreme and spectacular results' in order to increase the chances of their paper being accepted for publication. This paper examines this phenomenon using quantitative findings on income and price elasticities as reported in health economics research. We find robust statistical evidence that higher-impact journals preferentially report larger empirical estimates of these elasticities. That is, we find robust evidence of a winner's curse hypothesis contributing to the existence of publication bias found in both the income and the price elasticities of health care and drugs, as well as value of life research.
History
Journal
Health policyVolume
109Issue
1Pagination
78 - 87Publisher
ElsevierLocation
Amsterdam, The NetherlandsPublisher DOI
ISSN
0168-8510eISSN
1872-6054Language
engPublication classification
C1.1 Refereed article in a scholarly journal; C Journal articleCopyright notice
2012, Elsevier Ireland Ltd.Usage metrics
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